Lima Mayoral Election Winner

Most likely right now
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca
1.039%
PoliticsVol $2.5KTotal volume $52KLiquidity $296KComments 16in 1 months (Oct 4)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca
38.5%
1.0
Francis James Allison Oyague
21.5%
0.5
Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega
6.85%
2.3
Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera
6.70%
Samuel Marcos Daza Taype
5.50%
0.5
Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli
4.50%
Santiago Rosendo Abarca León
4.05%
Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay
3.50%
Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué
3.30%
Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino
3.15%
Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra
3.05%
Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar
2.90%
Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo
2.70%
Flor de María Hurtado Valdez
2.55%
Rubén José Ramírez Mateo
2.50%
Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza
2.45%
0.8
Sandro Caller Gutiérrez
2.15%
Samir Frank Quispe Caballero
1.80%
Jessica Viviana Linares Romero
1.60%
0.6
Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés
0.80%
Yehude Simón Munaro
0.70%
Segundo Valdez Zavala
0.50%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.