Lima Mayoral Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Rafael López Aliaga" at 90.8% on "Lima Mayoral Election Winner". Down 0.8%p from yesterday. $3.5K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 23 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 5.
Most likely right now
Rafael López Aliaga
▼0.891%
PoliticsVol $3.5KTotal volume $515KLiquidity $404KComments 411Closed (Oct 5)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Rafael López Aliaga
90.8%
▼0.8
Francis James Allison Oyague
2.95%
▲0.5
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca
0.25%
–
Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli
0.15%
–
Santiago Rosendo Abarca León
0.05%
–
Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo
0.05%
–
Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera
0.05%
–
Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino
0.05%
–
Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra
0.05%
–
Sandro Caller Gutiérrez
0.05%
–
Jessica Viviana Linares Romero
0.05%
–
Rubén José Ramírez Mateo
0.05%
–
Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay
0.05%
–
Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés
0.05%
–
Flor de María Hurtado Valdez
0.05%
–
Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar
0.05%
–
Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza
0.05%
–
Samuel Marcos Daza Taype
0.05%
–
Segundo Valdez Zavala
0.05%
–
Samir Frank Quispe Caballero
0.05%
–
Yehude Simón Munaro
0.05%
–
Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué
0.05%
–
Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega
0.05%
–
Probability over time
Rafael López Aliaga
Francis James Allison Oyague
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca
Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli
Santiago Rosendo Abarca León
Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
