Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?

Polymarket traders put "Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?" at 9.0%. Up 1.0%p from yesterday. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?
▲1.09%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $4.9KLiquidity $281in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?
9.00%
▲1.0

Probability over time

Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.