Longest GitHub critical incident in November 2026?
Polymarket traders put "1-3 hours" at 42.0% on "Longest GitHub critical incident in November 2026?". Down 2.0%p from yesterday. $45 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.
Most likely right now
1-3 hours
▼2.042%
TechVol $45Total volume $45Liquidity $854in 23 days (Dec 1)
Current probability
Nov 8 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
1-3 hours
42.0%
▼2.0
6-12 hours
40.0%
▼5.5
<1 hour
39.5%
–
3-6 hours
39.5%
▼1.0
12+ hours
38.5%
▼4.0
Probability over time
1-3 hours
6-12 hours
<1 hour
3-6 hours
12+ hours
2026-11-03 ~ 2026-11-08 · y-axis %
