Lula or Bolsonaro favored on...?
Polymarket traders put "October 5" at 23.5% on "Lula or Bolsonaro favored on...?". $1.6K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 5.
Most likely right now
October 5
–24%
PoliticsVol $1.6KTotal volume $1.6KLiquidity $19Kin 11 days (Oct 5)
Current probability
Sep 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
October 5
23.5%
–
October 3
11.0%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
