Massachusetts Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 25-30%" at 31.0% on "Massachusetts Senate Election Margin of Victory". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $367 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 25-30%
▲0.531%
PoliticsVol $367Total volume $13KLiquidity $138Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 25-30%
31.0%
▲0.5
Democrat 35-40%
28.5%
–
Democrat 30-35%
22.5%
–
Democrat 20-25%
10.0%
▼1.0
Democrat 15-20%
9.80%
▲8.7
Democrat 45%+
7.60%
▲1.2
Democrat 0-10%
4.80%
▲4.4
Democrat 40-45%
4.50%
▼1.0
Democrat 10-15%
0.70%
–
Republican Wins
0.55%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 45%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
