Mayor Combo: Taipei and New Taipei

Polymarket traders put "KMT sweep" at 38.5% on "Mayor Combo: Taipei and New Taipei". $1.3K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 29.

Most likely right now
KMT sweep
–39%
PoliticsVol $1.3KTotal volume $1.3KLiquidity $29Kin 25 days (Nov 29)
Current probability

Nov 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
KMT sweep
38.5%
–
DPP Taipei, KMT New Taipei
25.5%
–
KMT Taipei, DPP New Taipei
23.0%
–
DPP sweep
12.0%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.