MD-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 3-6%" at 26.0% on "MD-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 3-6%
▲1.026%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $62Liquidity $1.6Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 3-6%
26.0%
▲1.0
Republican 6-9%
25.5%
▼4.5
Republican 12-15%
25.0%
▼4.0
Democrat 3%+
24.5%
▲1.0
Republican 15-18%
23.5%
▼5.5
Republican 21%+
21.0%
▼2.5
Republican 18-21%
20.5%
▼7.5
Republican 9-12%
20.5%
▼2.0
Republican 0-3%
20.5%
▼1.0
Democrat 0-3%
15.5%
▲6.5
Probability over time
Republican 3-6%
Republican 6-9%
Republican 12-15%
Democrat 3%+
Republican 15-18%
Republican 21%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
