MD-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 12-15%" at 22.5% on "MD-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $81 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 12-15%
▼0.523%
PoliticsVol $81Total volume $7.1KLiquidity $78Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 12-15%
22.5%
▼0.5
Republican 9-12%
22.0%
▼0.5
Republican 15-18%
16.5%
–
Republican 18-21%
15.0%
▲4.5
Republican 6-9%
14.0%
–
Republican 3-6%
7.70%
▼5.1
Republican 0-3%
7.15%
▼2.3
Democrat 3%+
6.20%
▼5.4
Republican 21%+
3.95%
–
Democrat 0-3%
2.00%
–
Probability over time
Republican 12-15%
Republican 9-12%
Republican 15-18%
Republican 18-21%
Republican 6-9%
Republican 3-6%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
