MD-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 25-30%" at 33.0% on "MD-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 2.5%p from yesterday. $75 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 25-30%
▲2.533%
PoliticsVol $75Total volume $7.9KLiquidity $78Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 25-30%
33.0%
▲2.5
Democrat 30-35%
22.0%
▼3.0
Democrat 35-40%
20.5%
▲1.5
Democrat 10-15%
12.0%
▲5.5
Democrat 20-25%
12.0%
▼4.7
Democrat 0-10%
9.35%
▲1.2
Democrat 15-20%
7.45%
▲1.7
Democrat 40%+
5.30%
–
Republican Wins
0.45%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 0-10%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
