MD-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 35-40%" at 27.0% on "MD-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 7.5%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 35-40%
▼7.527%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $195Liquidity $1.4Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 35-40%
27.0%
▼7.5
Democrat 30-35%
27.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 25-30%
26.5%
▼2.5
Democrat 10-15%
25.0%
▼7.5
Democrat 20-25%
24.0%
▼6.5
Democrat 15-20%
23.5%
▼4.0
Democrat 0-10%
23.0%
▼10.5
Democrat 40%+
21.0%
▼7.5
Republican Wins
4.00%
▼2.5
Probability over time
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 15-20%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
