MD-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 45-50%" at 32.6% on "MD-05 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 4.7%p from yesterday. $336 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 45-50%
▲4.733%
PoliticsVol $336Total volume $6.9KLiquidity $103Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 45-50%
32.6%
▲4.7
Democrat 40-45%
26.5%
▼1.0
Democrat 35-40%
21.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 30-35%
12.8%
–
Democrat 50-55%
6.35%
▼2.9
Democrat 55%+
6.00%
▲1.4
Democrat 25-30%
4.60%
–
Republican Wins
3.20%
–
Democrat 15-25%
1.05%
–
Democrat 0-15%
0.55%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 55%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
