MD-08 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 60-65%" at 33.0% on "MD-08 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 60-65%
▼1.033%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $14KLiquidity $197Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 60-65%
33.0%
▼1.0
Democrat 65-70%
30.5%
–
Democrat 55-60%
15.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 70-75%
12.3%
–
Democrat 50-55%
9.15%
–
Democrat 0-40%
4.50%
–
Democrat 75-80%
3.35%
▲1.7
Democrat 80%+
2.75%
–
Democrat 40-50%
1.10%
–
Republican Wins
0.25%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 60-65%
Democrat 65-70%
Democrat 55-60%
Democrat 70-75%
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 0-40%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
