MD-08 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 0-40%" at 25.5% on "MD-08 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 5.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 0-40%
▲5.526%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $53Liquidity $9.6Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 0-40%
25.5%
▲5.5
Democrat 75-80%
24.5%
▼2.5
Democrat 70-75%
23.5%
▼5.0
Democrat 65-70%
23.5%
▼6.5
Democrat 55-60%
23.5%
▼15.0
Democrat 60-65%
23.0%
▼8.5
Democrat 50-55%
23.0%
▼4.0
Democrat 40-50%
22.5%
▼10.0
Democrat 80%+
21.0%
▼3.5
Republican Wins
4.40%
▲0.9
Probability over time
Democrat 0-40%
Democrat 75-80%
Democrat 70-75%
Democrat 65-70%
Democrat 55-60%
Democrat 60-65%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
