ME-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 30-35%" at 28.5% on "ME-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. $391 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 30-35%
▲1.028%
PoliticsVol $391Total volume $12KLiquidity $120Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 30-35%
28.5%
▲1.0
Democrat 25-30%
25.0%
▼3.0
Democrat 35-40%
18.4%
▼1.8
Democrat 20-25%
14.8%
▲3.6
Democrat 40-45%
12.2%
▲4.9
Democrat 5-15%
10.0%
▲1.2
Democrat 45%+
5.65%
–
Democrat 15-20%
4.50%
–
Republican Wins
0.85%
–
Democrat 0-5%
0.55%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 5-15%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
