ME-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 0-5%" at 30.0% on "ME-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)". $52 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 0-5%
–30%
PoliticsVol $52Total volume $70Liquidity $9.3Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 0-5%
30.0%
–
Democrat 20-25%
29.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 25-30%
26.5%
▼6.5
Democrat 5-15%
26.5%
▼2.5
Democrat 45%+
25.5%
▼7.5
Democrat 15-20%
22.5%
▼6.0
Democrat 40-45%
22.0%
▼2.0
Democrat 30-35%
21.5%
▼2.5
Democrat 35-40%
15.5%
▼8.5
Republican Wins
2.75%
▼8.3
Probability over time
Democrat 0-5%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 5-15%
Democrat 45%+
Democrat 15-20%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
