Measles cases in U.S. by October 31?
Polymarket traders put "3700+" at 98.0% on "Measles cases in U.S. by October 31?". $1.3K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 1.
Most likely right now
3700+
–98%
TechVol $1.3KTotal volume $1.3KLiquidity $3.3Kin 1 months (Nov 1)
Current probability
Oct 1 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
3700+
98.0%
–
3900+
97.5%
–
4000+
95.5%
–
3800+
95.0%
–
4100+
92.5%
–
4200+
70.5%
–
4300+
65.5%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
