Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Vote Share?

Polymarket traders put "31%+" at 37.5% on "Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Vote Share?". Up 4.0%p from yesterday. $4.5K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 20.

Most likely right now
31%+
4.038%
PoliticsVol $4.5KTotal volume $10.0KLiquidity $23Kin 24 days (Sep 20)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
31%+
37.5%
4.0
28-31%
27.0%
11.0
25-28%
22.0%
1.5
<25%
15.5%
8.5

Probability over time

31%+
28-31%
25-28%
<25%
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.