Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "AfD" at 87.5% on "Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner". $15 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 20.

Most likely right now
AfD
88%
PoliticsVol $15Total volume $475KLiquidity $225KComments 5in 23 days (Sep 20)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
AfD
87.5%
SPD
12.5%
0.5
CDU
0.05%
Grüne
0.05%
FDP
0.05%
Linke
0.05%
FW
0.05%
BSW
0.05%

Probability over time

AfD
SPD
CDU
Grüne
FDP
Linke
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.