Mexico Legislative Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Morena" at 83.9% on "Mexico Legislative Election Winner". Down 3.1%p from yesterday. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jun 7.

Most likely right now
Morena
▼3.184%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $106KLiquidity $192Kin 8 months (Jun 7)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Morena
83.9%
▼3.1
PAN
7.25%
–
PRI
2.70%
–
MC
0.15%
–
PT
0.05%
–
PVEM
0.05%
–

Probability over time

Morena
PAN
PRI
MC
PT
PVEM
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.