MI-04 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 0-3%" at 19.5% on "MI-04 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 7.5%p from yesterday. $50 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 0-3%
▲7.520%
PoliticsVol $50Total volume $6.4KLiquidity $126Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 0-3%
19.5%
▲7.5
Democrat 3-6%
19.5%
▲6.0
Democrat 0-3%
16.0%
–
Republican 9-12%
11.4%
–
Republican 6-9%
10.3%
–
Republican 12%+
9.75%
–
Republican 3-6%
9.55%
–
Democrat 9-12%
6.10%
–
Democrat 6-9%
5.50%
▼4.0
Democrat 12%+
4.15%
▼5.9
Probability over time
Republican 0-3%
Democrat 3-6%
Democrat 0-3%
Republican 9-12%
Republican 6-9%
Republican 12%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
