MI-04 House Election Margin of Victory
Most likely right now
Republican 12%+
▼2.520%
PoliticsVol $126Total volume $226Liquidity $19Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 12%+
20.0%
▼2.5
Democrat 3-6%
19.5%
▼18.0
Democrat 6-9%
15.5%
▼18.5
Republican 9-12%
15.0%
▼21.5
Republican 6-9%
15.0%
▼23.0
Democrat 0-3%
14.0%
▼22.0
Democrat 12%+
11.0%
▼22.0
Republican 3-6%
10.0%
▼19.0
Democrat 9-12%
9.00%
▼9.5
Republican 0-3%
8.00%
▼27.0
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
