MI-11 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 30-35%" at 28.5% on "MI-11 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 3.0%p from yesterday. $2.9K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 30-35%
▲3.028%
PoliticsVol $2.9KTotal volume $19KLiquidity $99Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 30-35%
28.5%
▲3.0
Democrat 25-30%
24.5%
▼4.5
Democrat 20-25%
17.0%
▲3.5
Democrat 15-20%
12.4%
▼8.9
Democrat 10-15%
10.8%
–
Democrat 0-10%
4.25%
–
Democrat 40%+
2.50%
–
Democrat 35-40%
1.80%
▼7.4
Republican Wins
1.10%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 0-10%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
