MI-11 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 0-10%" at 28.5% on "MI-11 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 4.0%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 0-10%
▼4.028%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $1.9Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 0-10%
28.5%
▼4.0
Democrat 35-40%
28.0%
▼6.5
Democrat 10-15%
28.0%
▼2.5
Democrat 25-30%
27.0%
▼7.5
Democrat 40%+
24.0%
▼1.5
Democrat 30-35%
24.0%
▼2.0
Democrat 15-20%
24.0%
▼2.0
Republican Wins
24.0%
▼1.0
Democrat 20-25%
22.0%
▼3.5
Probability over time
Democrat 0-10%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 40%+
Democrat 30-35%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
