MI-13 House Election Margin of Victory

Most likely right now
Democrat 50-55%
4.534%
PoliticsVol $378Total volume $411Liquidity $9.7Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democrat 50-55%
34.0%
4.5
Democrat 55-60%
30.5%
6.5
Democrat 0-25%
24.0%
5.0
Democrat 65%+
22.5%
13.5
Democrat 25-35%
21.0%
13.5
Democrat 45-50%
20.0%
12.0
Democrat 60-65%
19.5%
17.5
Democrat 40-45%
18.5%
17.5
Democrat 35-40%
6.50%
32.5
Republican Wins
0.70%
8.8

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.