MI-13 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Democrat 55-60%" at 25.5% on "MI-13 House Election Margin of Victory". $301 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Democrat 55-60%
–26%
PoliticsVol $301Total volume $9.1KLiquidity $130Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democrat 55-60%
25.5%
–
Democrat 45-50%
25.5%
▼9.0
Democrat 50-55%
23.5%
–
Democrat 40-45%
7.85%
–
Democrat 65%+
7.65%
▼10.3
Democrat 60-65%
6.10%
–
Democrat 35-40%
5.10%
–
Democrat 0-25%
2.05%
–
Democrat 25-35%
1.25%
–
Republican Wins
1.25%
–

Probability over time

Democrat 55-60%
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 65%+
Democrat 60-65%
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.