Michigan Senate Election: Genesee County Winner

Polymarket traders put "Abdul El-Sayed (D)" at 84.5% on "Michigan Senate Election: Genesee County Winner". $133 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
–85%
PoliticsVol $133Total volume $3.4KLiquidity $49Kin 16 days (Nov 3)
Current probability

Oct 19 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
84.5%
–
Mike Rogers (R)
13.5%
▲1.0

Probability over time

Abdul El-Sayed (D)
Mike Rogers (R)
02550751009/29/109/189/2610/410/1210/19
2026-09-02 ~ 2026-10-19 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.