Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "El-Sayed 3-6%" at 32.0% on "Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory". Up 2.0%p from yesterday. $394 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
El-Sayed 3-6%
▲2.032%
PoliticsVol $394Total volume $4.4KLiquidity $122Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
El-Sayed 3-6%
32.0%
▲2.0
El-Sayed 6-9%
21.5%
▼2.5
Rogers 0-3%
17.0%
▼0.5
El-Sayed 0-3%
13.5%
▲0.5
El-Sayed 9-12%
11.9%
▲5.6
Rogers 6-9%
6.55%
▲3.5
El-Sayed 12%+
5.70%
▲0.9
Rogers 3-6%
5.60%
▲1.9
Rogers 9-12%
2.30%
▲1.1
Rogers 12%+
0.60%
–
Probability over time
El-Sayed 3-6%
El-Sayed 6-9%
Rogers 0-3%
El-Sayed 0-3%
El-Sayed 9-12%
Rogers 6-9%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
