Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 0-3%" at 21.5% on "Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $31 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 0-3%
▼0.522%
PoliticsVol $31Total volume $1.3KLiquidity $78Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 0-3%
21.5%
▼0.5
Democrat 3-6%
18.5%
▲0.5
Republican 0-3%
15.0%
▲5.5
Republican 3-6%
13.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 6-9%
10.0%
▼1.5
Democrat 9-12%
5.25%
–
Republican 6-9%
4.50%
▲1.3
Republican 9-12%
4.45%
▼0.9
Republican 12%+
3.95%
▼0.7
Democrat 12%+
2.70%
▼2.4
Probability over time
Democrat 0-3%
Democrat 3-6%
Republican 0-3%
Republican 3-6%
Democrat 6-9%
Democrat 9-12%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
