Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
Polymarket traders put "October 31, 2026" at 12.0% on "Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
October 31, 2026
▼0.512%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $120KLiquidity $33KComments 3in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
October 31, 2026
12.0%
▼0.5
December 31, 2026
10.5%
▼1.0
Probability over time
October 31, 2026
December 31, 2026
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
