Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by...?

Polymarket traders put "November 30" at 52.5% on "Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by...?". $24K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 30.

Most likely right now
November 30
–53%
PoliticsVol $24KTotal volume $24KLiquidity $65Kin 2 months (Nov 30)
Current probability

Oct 8 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
November 30
52.5%
–
October 31
40.5%
–
October 15
14.5%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.