Minnesota Senate Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Democrat 20-25%" at 38.5% on "Minnesota Senate Election Margin of Victory". Up 12.0%p from yesterday. $51 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Democrat 20-25%
▲12.039%
PoliticsVol $51Total volume $51Liquidity $929in 1 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Sep 29 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democrat 20-25%
38.5%
▲12.0
Democrat 25%+
38.0%
▲11.5
Democrat 15-20%
38.0%
▲12.0
Democrat 10-15%
38.0%
▲12.0
Democrat 5-10%
38.0%
▲8.0
Democrat 0-5%
38.0%
–
Republican 0-5%
38.0%
▼0.5
Republican 5%+
38.0%
–

Probability over time

Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 25%+
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 5-10%
Democrat 0-5%
02550751009/119/149/179/209/249/279/29
2026-09-11 ~ 2026-09-29 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.