Mississippi Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Polymarket traders put "Republican 5-10%" at 23.5% on "Mississippi Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)". Up 2.0%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 5-10%
▲2.024%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $7.1KLiquidity $118Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 5-10%
23.5%
▲2.0
Republican 10-15%
19.5%
–
Republican 0-5%
17.9%
▲0.9
Republican 15-20%
9.00%
–
Democrat Wins
7.05%
–
Republican 25-30%
5.80%
–
Republican 20-25%
5.00%
–
Republican 30%+
3.45%
–
Probability over time
Republican 5-10%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 0-5%
Republican 15-20%
Democrat Wins
Republican 25-30%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
