MO-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 20-25%" at 32.5% on "MO-07 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 5.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Republican 20-25%
5.533%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $1.6Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 20-25%
32.5%
5.5
Republican 35-40%
28.5%
11.5
Republican 45-50%
28.0%
2.0
Republican 25-30%
27.0%
0.5
Republican 10-20%
27.0%
7.5
Republican 40-45%
25.5%
11.5
Republican 50%+
25.0%
9.5
Republican 30-35%
25.0%
1.0
Republican 0-10%
22.5%
2.0
Democrat Wins
19.1%
15.7

Probability over time

Republican 20-25%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 45-50%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 10-20%
Republican 40-45%
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.