MO-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 35-40%" at 30.5% on "MO-07 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 1.5%p from yesterday. $72 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Republican 35-40%
▼1.531%
PoliticsVol $72Total volume $12KLiquidity $73Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 35-40%
30.5%
▼1.5
Republican 30-35%
28.5%
–
Republican 25-30%
17.9%
▲2.2
Republican 40-45%
14.0%
▲4.5
Republican 50%+
11.9%
▼3.2
Republican 45-50%
8.80%
▼1.7
Republican 0-10%
6.45%
▼5.2
Republican 10-20%
5.35%
–
Democrat Wins
4.70%
▼5.5
Republican 20-25%
4.50%
▼2.5

Probability over time

Republican 35-40%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 40-45%
Republican 50%+
Republican 45-50%
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.