Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

Polymarket traders put "September 30" at 25.0% on "Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?". There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
September 30
25%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $1.8MLiquidity $39KComments 10in 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
September 30
25.0%
December 31
3.95%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.