MS-04 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Mike Ezell (R)" at 96.3% on "MS-04 House Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Mike Ezell (R)
–96%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $41KLiquidity $30Kin 19 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Mike Ezell (R)
96.3%
–
Jeffrey Hulum III (D)
3.05%
–
Probability over time
Mike Ezell (R)
Jeffrey Hulum III (D)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-15 · y-axis %
