MT-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 0-3%" at 23.0% on "MT-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 1.5%p from yesterday. $40 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 0-3%
▼1.523%
PoliticsVol $40Total volume $6.6KLiquidity $142Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 0-3%
23.0%
▼1.5
Republican 3-6%
21.5%
▲5.0
Democrat 3-6%
17.5%
▲1.0
Democrat 0-3%
16.1%
–
Republican 6-9%
11.0%
▼0.5
Republican 12%+
9.00%
–
Republican 9-12%
7.00%
–
Democrat 6-9%
3.65%
▼1.8
Democrat 9-12%
1.25%
–
Democrat 12%+
0.60%
–
Probability over time
Republican 0-3%
Republican 3-6%
Democrat 3-6%
Democrat 0-3%
Republican 6-9%
Republican 12%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
