MT-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 3-6%" at 37.0% on "MT-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 10.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 3-6%
▲10.037%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $100Liquidity $1.6Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 3-6%
37.0%
▲10.0
Republican 6-9%
32.0%
▲9.5
Democrat 12%+
27.1%
▲1.0
Republican 0-3%
24.5%
▲2.0
Republican 9-12%
24.0%
▼1.5
Democrat 6-9%
23.5%
▼5.0
Democrat 9-12%
23.0%
▲3.0
Democrat 3-6%
21.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 0-3%
20.5%
▼6.5
Republican 12%+
16.5%
▼4.0
Probability over time
Republican 3-6%
Republican 6-9%
Democrat 12%+
Republican 0-3%
Republican 9-12%
Democrat 6-9%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
