NATO downs another Russian drone before Russia x Ukraine peace talks?

Polymarket traders put "NATO downs another Russian drone before Russia x Ukraine peace talks?" at 35.0%. $294 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jul 1.

Most likely right now
NATO downs another Russian drone before Russia x Ukraine peace talks?
–35%
PoliticsVol $294Total volume $294Liquidity $239in 8 months (Jul 1)
Current probability

Oct 28 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
NATO downs another Russian drone before Russia x Ukraine peace talks?
35.0%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.