NATO downs another Russian drone by...?

Polymarket traders put "November 30" at 67.5% on "NATO downs another Russian drone by...?". Down 6.0%p from yesterday. $173 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.

Most likely right now
November 30
▼6.068%
PoliticsVol $173Total volume $173Liquidity $2.8Kin 1 months (Dec 1)
Current probability

Oct 24 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
November 30
67.5%
▼6.0
October 31
24.5%
▼15.0

Probability over time

November 30
October 31
025507510010/2310/24
2026-10-23 ~ 2026-10-24 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.