NATO x Russia military clash by...?
Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 22.5% on "NATO x Russia military clash by...?". $62K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 3.
Most likely right now
December 31
–23%
PoliticsVol $62KTotal volume $8.4MLiquidity $231KComments 266in 3 months (Jan 3)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
22.5%
–
October 31
9.00%
▲0.5
Probability over time
December 31
October 31
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
