NATO x Russia military clash by...?
Most likely right now
December 31
▲1.526%
PoliticsVol $68KTotal volume $6.0MLiquidity $142KComments 203in 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
26.0%
▲1.5
October 31
14.0%
▼1.0
August 31
2.60%
▼1.2
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
