NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

Polymarket traders put "NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?" at 5.3%. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31, 2026
5%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $481KLiquidity $19KComments 14in 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31, 2026
5.30%

Probability over time

December 31, 2026
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.