Nayarit Governor Election Winner

Most likely right now
Geraldine Ponce Méndez
1.039%
PoliticsVol $1.2KTotal volume $18KLiquidity $204Kin 10 months (Jun 6)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Geraldine Ponce Méndez
38.5%
1.0
Héctor Javier Santana García
27.5%
6.5
Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez
18.1%
Ivideliza Reyes Hernández
6.25%
4.9
Citlalli Rubí Huerta
5.00%
1.7
José Antonio Barajas López
4.80%
Ignacio Flores Medina
3.95%
0.5
Julieta Mejía Ibáñez
3.55%
Héctor Santana García
3.30%
José Ramón Cambero Pérez
3.10%
0.5
Gloria Núñez Sánchez
2.95%
Paola Vargas Arciniega
2.90%
Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez
2.45%
3.4
Luis Zamora Carrillo
2.45%
Manuel Cota Jiménez
2.15%
0.9
Ivonne Sabrina Díaz
1.60%
Enrique Díaz López
0.65%
0.5
María Elizabeth López Blanco
0.60%
Gustavo Ayón Aguirre
0.60%
Nadia Ramírez López
0.60%
Jesús Armando Vélez Macías
0.55%
Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu
0.50%
Pavel Jarero Velázquez
0.25%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.