NC-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 40-45%" at 35.4% on "NC-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 7.3%p from yesterday. $160 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 40-45%
▲7.335%
PoliticsVol $160Total volume $9.0KLiquidity $129Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 40-45%
35.4%
▲7.3
Democrat 45-50%
26.0%
▲5.5
Democrat 35-40%
17.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 50-55%
12.7%
▼5.9
Democrat 55%+
5.60%
▼3.0
Democrat 30-35%
4.00%
▼1.0
Democrat 25-30%
3.95%
▼1.1
Republican Wins
3.95%
▲3.3
Democrat 15-25%
1.15%
–
Democrat 0-15%
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 55%+
Democrat 30-35%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
