NC-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 35-40%" at 34.0% on "NC-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 5.5%p from yesterday. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 35-40%
▲5.534%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $233Liquidity $1.4Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 35-40%
34.0%
▲5.5
Democrat 30-35%
29.5%
▼8.0
Democrat 50-55%
29.0%
▼6.5
Democrat 0-15%
27.5%
▼7.5
Democrat 40-45%
26.0%
▼10.5
Democrat 55%+
24.5%
▼5.0
Republican Wins
3.95%
▼1.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
