NC-04 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 50-55%" at 29.0% on "NC-04 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 50-55%
▲1.029%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $2.2Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 50-55%
29.0%
▲1.0
Democrat 40-45%
28.5%
▲0.5
Democrat 0-20%
28.0%
▲1.5
Democrat 55-60%
24.5%
–
Democrat 60%+
24.0%
▲3.5
Democrat 45-50%
24.0%
▲2.5
Democrat 30-35%
24.0%
▲2.0
Democrat 20-30%
23.0%
▲2.0
Democrat 35-40%
22.0%
▼5.5
Republican Wins
19.3%
▲15.9
Probability over time
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 0-20%
Democrat 55-60%
Democrat 60%+
Democrat 45-50%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
