NC-04 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 55-60%" at 31.5% on "NC-04 House Election Margin of Victory". There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 55-60%
–32%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $14KLiquidity $195Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 55-60%
31.5%
–
Democrat 50-55%
27.5%
▲1.0
Democrat 60%+
23.9%
–
Democrat 45-50%
8.95%
–
Democrat 40-45%
5.00%
–
Democrat 20-30%
1.05%
–
Democrat 30-35%
0.70%
–
Democrat 35-40%
0.15%
–
Democrat 0-20%
0.15%
–
Republican Wins
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 55-60%
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 60%+
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 20-30%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
