ND-AL House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 25-30%" at 29.0% on "ND-AL House Election Margin of Victory". Down 1.5%p from yesterday. $86 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 25-30%
▼1.529%
PoliticsVol $86Total volume $12KLiquidity $112Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 25-30%
29.0%
▼1.5
Republican 35-40%
22.0%
▲6.5
Republican 30-35%
18.4%
–
Republican 20-25%
15.0%
–
Republican 15-20%
11.5%
▼2.7
Republican 40-45%
5.05%
–
Republican 5-15%
2.85%
–
Democrat Wins
1.35%
–
Republican 45%+
1.05%
▲0.7
Republican 0-5%
0.85%
–
Probability over time
Republican 25-30%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 40-45%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
