Nevada Democratic Presidential Primary Winner 2028

Polymarket traders put "Michelle Obama" at 36.0% on "Nevada Democratic Presidential Primary Winner 2028". Down 6.5%p from yesterday. $3 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Feb 2.

Most likely right now
Michelle Obama
▼6.536%
PoliticsVol $3Total volume $3Liquidity $1.9Kin 1.2 years (Feb 2)
Current probability

Nov 5 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Michelle Obama
36.0%
▼6.5
Raphael Warnock
34.5%
▼11.0

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.