New Mexico Governor Election Margin of Victory

Most likely right now
Democrat 15-20%
1.020%
PoliticsVol $212Total volume $1.6KLiquidity $68Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democrat 15-20%
19.5%
1.0
Democrat 20-25%
16.5%
3.0
Democrat 10-15%
16.0%
4.5
Democrat 5-10%
15.0%
Democrat 0-5%
11.5%
2.0
Democrat 25%+
8.50%
3.5
Republican 0-5%
3.40%
1.1
Republican 5%+
0.95%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.