New Mexico Governor Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 10-15%" at 35.0% on "New Mexico Governor Election Margin of Victory". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $20 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 10-15%
▲0.535%
PoliticsVol $20Total volume $9.9KLiquidity $79Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 10-15%
35.0%
▲0.5
Democrat 5-10%
25.5%
▲1.0
Democrat 15-20%
25.5%
▲4.5
Democrat 20-25%
25.0%
▲11.5
Democrat 25%+
10.1%
▲3.4
Democrat 0-5%
5.20%
–
Republican 0-5%
1.45%
–
Republican 5%+
0.25%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 5-10%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 25%+
Democrat 0-5%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
