New South Wales Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

Polymarket traders put "One Nation" at 33.0% on "New South Wales Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place". $595 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Mar 28.

Most likely right now
One Nation
–33%
PoliticsVol $595Total volume $595Liquidity $11Kin 6 months (Mar 28)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
One Nation
33.0%
–
Greens
23.0%
–
Liberal–National
22.0%
–
Legalise Cannabis
15.0%
–
Shooters, Fishers, Farmers
12.5%
–
Labor
11.0%
–
Animal Justice
11.0%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.