New York Governor Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 15-20%" at 27.5% on "New York Governor Election Margin of Victory". Up 2.5%p from yesterday. $387 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 15-20%
▲2.528%
PoliticsVol $387Total volume $6.0KLiquidity $89Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 15-20%
27.5%
▲2.5
Democrat 20-25%
24.0%
▼3.5
Democrat 10-15%
19.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 5-10%
16.0%
▲0.5
Democrat 30-35%
10.4%
▲4.5
Democrat 35%+
5.25%
▼3.5
Democrat 25-30%
5.00%
▼0.5
Democrat 0-5%
4.75%
–
Republican Wins
2.40%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 5-10%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 35%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
