New York Governor Election Margin of Victory
Most likely right now
Democrat 15-20%
▲1.030%
PoliticsVol $132Total volume $1.4KLiquidity $63Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 15-20%
29.5%
▲1.0
Democrat 20-25%
17.0%
▲3.0
Democrat 10-15%
15.5%
▲7.0
Democrat 5-10%
12.0%
▼12.5
Democrat 25-30%
10.5%
▲1.5
Democrat 30-35%
8.00%
–
Republican Wins
3.90%
▼1.7
Democrat 35%+
3.35%
–
Democrat 0-5%
2.50%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
