New Zealand Election: 2nd Place

Polymarket traders put "National Party" at 54.0% on "New Zealand Election: 2nd Place". There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 7.

Most likely right now
National Party
54%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $18KLiquidity $74Kin 2 months (Nov 7)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
National Party
54.0%
Labour Party
41.5%
New Zealand First Party
0.70%
Green Party
0.45%
Te Pāti Māori
0.45%
ACT New Zealand
0.30%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.