New Zealand Election: 2nd Place
Polymarket traders put "National Party" at 49.0% on "New Zealand Election: 2nd Place". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 8.
Most likely right now
National Party
▲1.049%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $26KLiquidity $72Kin 1 months (Nov 8)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
National Party
49.0%
▲1.0
Labour Party
48.0%
▼2.0
Green Party
6.50%
▼0.7
New Zealand First Party
0.55%
–
ACT New Zealand
0.40%
–
Te Pāti Māori
0.30%
–
Probability over time
National Party
Labour Party
Green Party
New Zealand First Party
ACT New Zealand
Te Pāti Māori
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
