New Zealand Election: Any Bloc Wins a Majority?

Polymarket traders put "New Zealand Election: Any Bloc Wins a Majority?" at 52.5%. $148 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Nov 8.

Most likely right now
New Zealand Election: Any Bloc Wins a Majority?
–53%
PoliticsVol $148Total volume $148Liquidity $4.0Kin 10 days (Nov 8)
Current probability

Oct 29 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
New Zealand Election: Any Bloc Wins a Majority?
52.5%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.