New Zealand legislative election winner?
Polymarket traders put "Labour Party" at 53.5% on "New Zealand legislative election winner?". $11 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 8.
Most likely right now
Labour Party
–54%
PoliticsVol $11Total volume $64KLiquidity $164KComments 1in 1 months (Nov 8)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Labour Party
53.5%
–
National Party
45.5%
▼0.5
New Zealand First Party
0.60%
–
Green Party
0.15%
–
ACT New Zealand
0.15%
–
Te Pāti Māori
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Labour Party
National Party
New Zealand First Party
Green Party
ACT New Zealand
Te Pāti Māori
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
