New Zealand legislative election winner?

Most likely right now
Labour Party
1.556%
PoliticsVol $310Total volume $58KLiquidity $122Kin 2 months (Nov 7)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Labour Party
56.0%
1.5
National Party
43.0%
Green Party
0.15%
ACT New Zealand
0.15%
Te Pāti Māori
0.15%
New Zealand First Party
0.05%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.