Newsom flips Vance for 2028 president by March 31?

Polymarket traders put "Newsom flips Vance for 2028 president by March 31?" at 37.5%. Down 17.5%p from yesterday. $3.0K traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Apr 1.

Most likely right now
Newsom flips Vance for 2028 president by March 31?
▼17.538%
PoliticsVol $3.0KTotal volume $3.0KLiquidity $487in 5 months (Apr 1)
Current probability

Nov 5 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Newsom flips Vance for 2028 president by March 31?
37.5%
▼17.5

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.