Next Brazilian Chief of Staff?

Polymarket traders put "Camilo Santana" at 45.5% on "Next Brazilian Chief of Staff?". $1.6K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Mar 1.

Most likely right now
Camilo Santana
–46%
PoliticsVol $1.6KTotal volume $1.6KLiquidity $12Kin 4 months (Mar 1)
Current probability

Oct 31 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Camilo Santana
45.5%
–
Fernando Haddad
31.0%
–
Geraldo Alckmin
28.5%
–
Miriam Belchior
23.5%
–
Rui Costa
21.0%
–
Jaques Wagner
12.0%
–
Gleisi Hoffmann
0.35%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.