Next Brazilian Minister of Finance?

Polymarket traders put "Rafael Fonteles" at 31.5% on "Next Brazilian Minister of Finance?". $910 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Mar 1.

Most likely right now
Rafael Fonteles
–32%
PoliticsVol $910Total volume $910Liquidity $24Kin 4 months (Mar 1)
Current probability

Oct 31 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Rafael Fonteles
31.5%
–
Dario Durigan
31.0%
–
Geraldo Alckmin
29.0%
–
Gabriel Galípolo
25.5%
–
Fernando Haddad
24.0%
–
Aloizio Mercadante
22.5%
–
Gleisi Hoffmann
22.5%
–
Rogério Ceron
21.5%
–
Simone Tebet
8.50%
–
Paulo Guedes
3.50%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.