Next Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs?

Polymarket traders put "Mauro Vieira" at 45.0% on "Next Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs?". $297 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Mar 1.

Most likely right now
Mauro Vieira
–45%
PoliticsVol $297Total volume $297Liquidity $1.4Kin 4 months (Mar 1)
Current probability

Oct 31 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Mauro Vieira
45.0%
–
Aloizio Mercadante
36.5%
–
Jaques Wagner
35.0%
–
Celso Amorim
15.0%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.