Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?
Polymarket traders put "No Next Chancellor before 2028" at 51.5% on "Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?". $437 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 12 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
No Next Chancellor before 2028
–52%
PoliticsVol $437Total volume $437Liquidity $11Kin 1.3 years (Jan 1)
Current probability
Sep 16 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
No Next Chancellor before 2028
51.5%
–
Hendrik Wüst
15.0%
–
Markus Söder
11.5%
–
Lars Klingbeil
8.00%
–
Jens Spahn
6.00%
–
Carsten Linnemann
6.00%
–
Alice Weidel
6.00%
–
Tino Chrupalla
6.00%
–
Boris Pistorius
6.00%
–
Felix Banaszak
6.00%
–
Heidi Reichinnek
6.00%
–
Sahra Wagenknecht
6.00%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
