Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?
Polymarket traders put "No Next Chancellor before 2028" at 65.5% on "Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?". Up 2.0%p from yesterday. $151 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 13 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
No Next Chancellor before 2028
▲2.066%
PoliticsVol $151Total volume $129KLiquidity $292KComments 3in 1.2 years (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 31 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
No Next Chancellor before 2028
65.5%
▲2.0
Hendrik Wüst
13.5%
–
Markus Söder
7.50%
▲1.3
Alice Weidel
4.30%
–
Boris Pistorius
4.20%
–
Lars Klingbeil
0.90%
–
Carsten Linnemann
0.60%
–
Felix Banaszak
0.55%
–
Jens Spahn
0.05%
–
Tino Chrupalla
0.05%
–
Katharina Dröge
0.05%
–
Heidi Reichinnek
0.05%
–
Sahra Wagenknecht
0.05%
–
Probability over time
No Next Chancellor before 2028
Hendrik Wüst
Markus Söder
Alice Weidel
Boris Pistorius
Lars Klingbeil
2026-09-16 ~ 2026-10-31 · y-axis %
