Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Most likely right now
Marine Le Pen
–84%
PoliticsVol $5.6KTotal volume $95KLiquidity $677KComments 4in 8 months (Apr 30)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Marine Le Pen
84.0%
–
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
44.5%
▼2.0
Édouard Philippe
38.0%
▲0.5
Other
32.5%
▲0.5
Carole Delga
25.7%
▲23.9
Clémentine Autain
17.3%
▲16.0
Manuel Bompard
16.2%
▲13.8
Raphaël Glucksmann
9.80%
▲3.8
Jordan Bardella
8.50%
▼2.0
Gabriel Attal
7.60%
▲3.5
Olivier Faure
7.55%
▲2.8
François Bayrou
7.55%
▲3.1
Élisabeth Borne
6.80%
▲3.1
Juan Branco
6.00%
▲4.4
Bernard Cazeneuve
4.50%
–
Sébastien Lecornu
4.50%
–
Gérald Darmanin
4.05%
–
François Hollande
4.00%
–
Dominique de Villepin
4.00%
–
Mathilde Panot
3.65%
–
Fabien Roussel
3.55%
–
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
3.55%
–
Bruno Retailleau
3.15%
–
Éric Zemmour
3.10%
–
David Lisnard
2.70%
–
Yaël Braun-Pivet
2.45%
–
François Ruffin
2.25%
–
Laurent Wauquiez
2.00%
–
François Asselineau
1.80%
–
Sarah Knafo
1.80%
▲1.1
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
