Next Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released on...?

Polymarket traders put "November 11" at 17.5% on "Next Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released on...?". $680 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 32 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.

Most likely right now
November 11
–18%
TechVol $680Total volume $660Liquidity $2.1Kin 1 months (Dec 1)
Current probability

Oct 29 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
November 11
17.5%
–
November 17
14.5%
–
November 1
12.5%
–
November 12
12.5%
–
November 28
12.5%
–
No release by November 30
12.5%
–
November 2
8.50%
–
November 3
8.50%
–
November 4
8.50%
–
November 7
8.50%
–
November 10
8.50%
–
November 13
8.50%
–
November 14
8.50%
–
November 15
8.50%
–
November 16
8.50%
–
November 18
8.50%
–
November 19
8.50%
–
November 20
8.50%
–
November 21
8.50%
–
November 22
8.50%
–
November 23
8.50%
–
November 24
8.50%
–
November 25
8.50%
–
November 26
8.50%
–
November 27
8.50%
–
On or prior to October 31
8.00%
–
November 5
8.00%
–
November 6
8.00%
–
November 8
8.00%
–
November 9
8.00%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.